Thursday, March 27, 2008

‘Money’burnt!

The‘Money’burnt! PE bull run could soon be over Accident? Call an ambulance. Robbery? Call the cops. Fire? Call the fire brigade. An under performing business? Caught you there, didn’t we? No, dear investors, there isn’t any emergency number for this malady, at least not yet! But as recent trends across the globe indicate, the panacea for hapless managers of such companies increasingly happens to be private equity (PE). And the deluge of money PE firms are pouring is sending a wave of frenzy, excitement and also fear across markets.

Last month, a whopping $48.5 billion for Bell Canada (a 127 year old telecom operator in Canada) by a group of private equity firms led by Teacher’s Private Capital, set a new benchmark in the history of PE investments, a record that was previously held by the $45 billion acquisition of TXU Corp. by KKR & Texas Pacific Group. While KKR has made huge strides, it has often run into opposition from another PE giant Blackstone, which has a leg up, thanks to the acquisition of Equity Office Properties for $38.9 billion and an offer of $26 billion for Hilton Hotels. Gloated Michael Chae, Senior Managing Director, Blackstone, on the Hilton offer, “Blackstone’s real estate and corporate private equity funds collaborated on the acquisition of Hilton, demonstrating Blackstone’s unique ability to undertake such a transaction.”

Going against the tenets of conventional wisdom, these PE firms are in fact falling over each other in a race to decide who gets to cough up the billions for underperforming companies! Not for them are basic business jargon like corporate vision & strategic planning. Rather their philosophy is buy, strip & flip, a philosophy that wins them bouquets & brickbats alike. The basic fear is that they overburden the companies they acquire with debt and can bring company valuations to junk. This downside also gives companies that are under the PE umbrella an additional benefit – management that is overloaded by a substantial debt burden is more likely to be frugal in its handling of company operations.

As per the leading index provider Standard & Poor’s (S&P), there were only 16 pure private equity listed entities with a daily turnover of more than $1 million and a market capitalization greater than $250 million. As of 2007, these numbers have nearly doubled, S&P stated. The company has released a Global PE Index that includes 25 top PE firms across the globe that meet its specifications. S&P admits that the success of PE firms in terms of market valuations made it inevitable to have a separate index in order to track their performance.

While it may be boom time for dollar rich PE firms at the bourses, there are many who feel that this success story is not going to last very long. Firstly, the ever rising interest rates are making it tough for PE firms to be able to extract value, even with their rather ruthless methods. Secondly, in a mad rush to acquire companies, they are competing not just with each other, but also with companies that have genuine strategic interest. This is raising valuations for acquisition targets to exorbitant levels. For instance, Blackstone is paying Hilton $47.5 per share, which is a 29% premium on the latter’s closing price on July 2, 2007. One bad news can have the markets scurrying for cover, bringing this rather extended bull run to a grinding halt. And we may be finally left waiting for that emergency bailout number after all!

For Complete IIPM Article, Click on IIPM Article

Source :
IIPM Editorial, 2008

An
IIPM and Professor Arindam Chaudhuri (Renowned Management Guru and Economist) Initiative

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Thursday, March 06, 2008

A lot of gas...


Fertiliser subsidies are as scandalous as gas pricing!

TheSutanu Guru, Executive Editor, Business & Economy unseemly brouhaha raised over gas pricing in India is quite natural. After all, many billions of dollars and many more corporate fortunes are linked intimately with gas prices. Potential buyers of gas from the Godavari basin (mostly controlled by Mukesh Ambani of Reliance Industries Ltd.) like power and fertilizer companies feel that high gas prices will throw their projects and plans completely out of gear. Fertiliser companies are lobbying hard with the newly appointed Group of Ministers (GOM) mandated to look into the issue. They say that high gas prices will lead to an unsustainable rise in fertiliser subsidies. And that Indian farmers could be hurt.

That brings me to a core, and often neglected issue: have fertiliser subsidies helped Indian farmers? Or have they been fattening corporate bottomlines even as the rural poor continue to languish in dire poverty? Lets face it. Only rich farmers can afford to buy subsidies (just as only middle class and rich urban Indian families can afford ‘subsidised’ LPG cylinders). The relation between poor farmers & landless peasants with fertiliser is just as intimate as the relation between Osama bin Laden and peaceful co-existence. Yet, in the name of the rural poor and the farmer, the government is currently spending about Rs.50,000 crores every year on fertiliser subsidies. What if the same government decided that it might be a better idea to distribute the subsidy in the form of cash doles to the rural poor of India? Yes, every poor Indian in rural areas will then end up getting close to Rs.5,000 every year as cash. Assuming a rural poor family to be having five members, every such family in rural India will get a cash income of Rs.25,000 a year!

Sure, there will be howls of protest from lobbyists and self-important economists. Many would accuse this columnist of being too simplistic. But the fact of the matter is that the fertiliser subsidy regime in the country is crying out for simplicity and transparency. The rules and procedures for claiming subsidies are so complex that even mathematicians would need complex formulae to crack the code! As with many other things in India, this lack of transparency is perhaps deliberately designed to encourage skullduggery. According to the regime, the quantum of subsidies depends upon the capacity utilisation achieved by a fertiliser plant. So there have been repeated situations when many fertiliser companies have reported that their plants have consistently achieved utilisation levels of 120% and even more!

Gas pricing is a complex and important issue no doubt. But, what about the scam of fertiliser subsidies?

For Complete IIPM Article, Click on IIPM Article

Source :
IIPM Editorial, 2007

An
IIPM and Professor Arindam Chaudhuri (Renowned Management Guru and Economist) Initiative

For More IIPM Info, Visit Below....
The Sunday Indian - India's Greatest News weekly
IIPM Mumbai Parables - Stories that change life
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